Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.491877 6.007073 6.571070 7.238358 8.011586 8.885923 9.958794
2025-02-23 4.717561 5.423319 6.257472 7.332719 8.707462 10.443637 12.866832
2025-03-02 4.125103 4.886923 5.830973 7.117135 8.875121 11.279118 14.985524
2025-03-09 3.733670 4.523846 5.538886 6.983071 9.067167 12.116367 17.258217
2025-03-16 3.461323 4.273117 5.347992 6.935689 9.340356 13.085698 19.979099
2025-03-23 3.311417 4.163283 5.325367 7.107942 9.946659 14.676644 24.296447
2025-03-30 3.073393 3.909584 5.072571 6.901645 9.915181 15.179731 26.706177
2025-04-06 2.867808 3.684197 4.838395 6.692993 9.840865 15.578825 29.040714
2025-04-13 2.690361 3.485786 4.626463 6.494234 9.749953 15.919983 31.381148
2025-04-20 2.565716 3.354754 4.503760 6.424274 9.872156 16.701653 35.204845
2025-04-27 2.510477 3.320615 4.523608 6.588492 10.442464 18.548527 43.115601
2025-05-04 2.464469 3.296293 4.555184 6.773537 11.079992 20.726026 53.887918
2025-05-11 2.371033 3.201814 4.479957 6.784769 11.419658 22.426242 65.351248
2025-05-18 2.295852 3.132188 4.441844 6.863730 11.929620 24.802055 83.639785
2025-05-25 2.175908 2.985503 4.265893 6.667662 11.806761 25.401390 94.206112
2025-06-01 2.080036 2.871383 4.136277 6.545894 11.831826 26.462553 110.157352
2025-06-08 2.005972 2.787777 4.052197 6.502843 12.032956 28.170627 135.973026
2025-06-15 1.970801 2.764354 4.068874 6.659272 12.746390 31.963357 198.521459
2025-06-22 1.883659 2.651870 3.922993 6.471905 12.562009 32.440834 227.410996
2025-06-29 1.802133 2.545172 3.781597 6.282138 12.344546 32.732184 257.868795
2025-07-06 1.727267 2.446472 3.649382 6.101121 12.125587 32.958873 292.039907
2025-07-13 1.674482 2.382289 3.575573 6.037347 12.215806 34.562347 377.413231
2025-07-20 1.655392 2.373364 3.600625 6.186995 12.928355 39.427481 691.495073